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Keith, as much as I enjoy his daily show, seems too partisan for the job.
Gregory always impressed me as a toady to the White House. I am willing to be proved wrong on that point.
Andrea might work, but I believe you need to get someone with hard interview skills and I just don't know that much about her.
My out-of the-box possibility is Katie Couric. She was great at interviewing when at the Today Show, and face it, she has not been the boost CBS expected as a news anchor. Long shot, but I'd wager a couple of bucks just in case.
But there's no direct replacement for Russert. He was unique.
Tim Russert was a Titan.
I propose replacing Tim with the best from a very impressive crowd of NBC/MSNBC talent is the way forward.
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Russert can't be replaced by one person. With his Moynihan and Cuomo experience, he had a deep understanding of how politics and government work. He spent time at NBC as an executive before taking over the Washington Bureau and, ultimately, Meet the Press. And as demonstrated by his two books, the man was grounded in family and place, and certainly knew who he was, what was important, and his own limitations. I can't think of one person who can bring all that to the table.
Of the internal candidates you mention, Matthews has the best political understanding, followed closely by Todd, who also seems to be the most grounded person there. Todd explains politics really well, and has a pretty clear, non-ideological ability to pick out the important upcoming events and facts, probably similar to Russert in that regard. Olbermann doesn't understand politics or government at a micro-level, and is in a great spot already. Andrea Mitchell might be a safe choice for a few years while Chuckie T gets some more seasoning and gravitas (with a little weight loss effort thrown in).
Your list of outsiders is lacking. Wolf Blitzer is a blowhard who could never, ever come close to approximating Russert. David Gergen can be great guest when he has something to say, but don't see him as an interviewer. George Stephanopoulous lost me and others as ThisWeek viewers with his over-the-top Clintonizing during the primaries. Chris Wallace? Sorry, the home team is better.
My favorite outside-the-peacock candidate is PBS's Gwen Ifill of The NewsHour with Jim Lehrer and host of Washington Week. Among other things, she spent five years at NBC working for Tim Russert, understands Washington and the news business, and would be seen as an honest broker by Dems and Republicans alike. Plus, NBC (and all the other networks) could use a little color in their lineups. Just sayin'...
We all knew that Russerts' background was with the democratic party, but he always went for the rock bottom truth in all of his interviews, no matter where in the political spectrum his guest was coming from.
Sunday mornings will never be the same. Tim you are greatly missed.
The thing that made Tim so unique is that he was selected based on such a wide-range of skills. Maybe it is an indicator to NBC that substance ultimately matters more than style, and rather than finding another "entertainer" like Olberman or a pretty face like Brokaw/Couric, they should look at the skills brought to the table - management, teambuilding, integrity, non-partisanship, altruistic motivation, someone who can build a coalition rather than pander for ratings.
MtP was in the doldrums when Tim took over. I don't know how long it took for him to bring it up in the ratings, but being THE BOSS probably gave him a bit more leash than the typical news-star. Perhaps NBC has something there, and should look at building on that model.
As for the names previously mentioned:
Andrea Mitchell - not strong enough. You could see it in MtP roundtables and especially in her obit to Tim - she need him to make it.
Matthews - no way, why not put Fred Flintstone into the job?
Olbermann - too partisan
Katie Couric - interviewing? Are you kidding?
If NBC doesn't look outside the box, it'll be Gregory or Todd. Although Gregory looks older than Todd, they are only within a couple of years of each other (between 35 and 37 each). Todd was definitely Tim's protege, I think he was being groomed for the job. He has that passion for politics, knows A LOT about history, and despite not having a college degree (a few short from GWU) he is very smart. Gregory may come across as a bit partisan - some shouting matches with Bush press guys for which he apologized, some "uh-oh" videos parodying the prez, a bit questionable.
Tim was a formidable talent, and a unique diamond-in-the-rough for NBC. The best hope is that they stay with the unconventional, look for the skills that made him so trustworthy and hire for THAT. We'll all be better for it.
I would like to see NBC audition several prospects by giving them the MTP chair on Sundays between now and the election. Perhaps have Tom Brokaw be the interim ex-officio host until the right candidate "wins" Tim's old chair with killer live 'audition' shows.
If they're going outside... I'd want to recruit Bill Moyers ahead of any of the others you mention. Again w/ Gergen--he's knowledgeable, but can he do a good interview. Blitzer, Stephanoupoulus, and Wallace have already shown they aren't nearly as good as Russert. They've already flunked their auditions.
Gregory is shallow and boring. His defense, after McLellan's book, that the press actually did a good job of standing up to the White House propaganda machine on Iraq disqualifies him instantly. His next career move should be to follow Tucker Carlson onto Dancing with the stars. We've seen him dancing. He's better than Tucker.
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#1 choice: Chuck Todd!!!!! (w/o the facial hair - sorry...) Great analytical skills but what about his interviewing skills - unknown but probably pretty good.
2. Brokaw &/or Mitchell (or Al Hunt?) for a while until Todd is a bit more seasoned (and gets some interviewing experience)
3. Gwen Ifill (but not as insightful as Todd)
And, for reasons mentioned in previous comments:
ABSOLUTELY NOT Gregory, Scarborough, Blitzer, Gergen, Couric or Wallace (all disastrous).
Also, not Olbermann, Matthews, Stephanopoulos, or Couric.
_________
Best pick: Chuck Todd
At this point, I think Brokaw needs to step in for the rest of year. He has the respect and bigger wheels than Russert to step in without question.
The choice doesn't need to be made now.
Don't expect them to bring in Blitzer, Stephanopoulous, Wallace, either. These are people who all competed with MtP, and lost. NBC's interest here is to maintain MtP's viewership as much as possible; bringing in people like them, who have proven they couldn't do it, wouldn't seem sensible. Besides, why would they? They already have great jobs on shows that are nearly as well-respected.
I wouldn't count on Todd. Cooper, Ifill, Rose - they all have good positions now, especially Rose, who is practically an institution on PBS (though he'd certainly have the interviewing abilities).
I'd love to see Aaron Brown, too. But I just can't imagine it happening, somehow.
I expect Andrea Mitchell will get the nod for bureau chief. Here's hoping Chuck Todd can hone his skills to take over when she's done. I don't want to say she's old, but she is kind of old. Personally I'm ready for Chuck Todd now, but I suspect NBC, and the older viewers who tend to follow politics, are not.
Whoever earlier said Jon Meacham should host MTP -- that's a really insightful, off the wall choice. He's clearly brilliant, and has a demeanor that might work very well in a role as host. I really want to read his last book, but I couldn't stomach reading a whole book about religion. I am told that it's scholarly and brilliant.
Aaron Brown would be awesome!! And I'm way right of Winer so it says something that both of us would like AB.
My money is on Katie Couric.