DISQUS

Scripting News: Yeah of course it's about the oil and that's all it's about (Scripting News)

  • wag · 1 year ago
    But maybe you (and Obama) are too cynical about the American people? I think we're READY to hear the truth. The truth is we cannot pay empire any longer. The sooner we tear down our war machine and invest whatever hasn't been looted by the Bush junta into sustainable economic development, public transportation, a production economy instead of a consumption economy, a new food chain, etc., the sooner we start to fix things. Obama's approach of telling the same old lies is just full speed ahead off of a cliff.
  • dave · 1 year ago
    Well, that's what you think the truth is -- sounds pretty confused to me.
  • wag · 1 year ago
    What part? You think the war machine is sustainable??
  • matt · 1 year ago
    "You think the war machine is sustainable?"
    Well yes, as long as stupid europeans kep buying iPods % iPhones and essentially financing the enormous deficit the war machine is creating. ;)
    No really, this is not sustainable, I quite agree
  • cheapsuits · 1 year ago
    I enjoyed the read. Agreed with most, disagreed with some but that really doesn't matter. The most fitting comment is your last. This is EXACTLY why people have blogs. Your voice broadcasted to many. If a single persons vote does count as they say then so does that persons opinions. Blog on!
  • davetong · 1 year ago
    I agree that the USA will never leave Iraq, but I don't necessarily agree with all your reasoning.

    The biggest US base outside of the USA is Ramstein, Germany. It's there because Germany was the closest US ally to Russia. Now where is the action? It's in the Middle East. The USA wanted to establish a friendly, pro-western democracy out there, and that's why they invaded Iraq. Eventually once everything settles down, the Iraqis will agree to allow the US to establish a permanent military base there. Iraq will replace Ramstein as the biggest overseas US base. Just watch.
  • cshotton · 1 year ago
    This has been the most obvious reason since the whole mess started. If we wanted the oil, we would have allowed the Kurds to separate, cut a deal with them, and just taken it. That isn't what has happened. In fact, there seems to be a reasonably good record of having the Iraqis use oil revenue for infrastructure projects. So why is it suddenly about oil 5 years after the fact? Simple fact is that it isn't. If we'd wanted oil, Iran was a much better target. Iraq is one of the most oil-poor places in the region besides Israel.
  • wag · 1 year ago
    >Iraq is one of the most oil-poor places in the region besides Israel.

    Thats absurd, Iraq has huge unexploited reserves. They're #2 or 3 in the world.

    Anyway, Chomsky has explained this whole "rationale" issue ad infinitum. The US goal is hegemony over the Middle East and has been since the end of WWII when FDR met the Saudi King on a battleship and did a deal. The US picked up where the British empire left off. The goal of all imperial operations is control first, then the spoils. the Middle East and North Asia are the world's richest energy-bearing region and its a big fight for control of those supplies. Its not about getting oil for our own consumption (theres plenty in Canada for us) - its about control of the oil spigot as strategic lever over the other great nations of the world.
  • Joshua_Whalen · 1 year ago
    Actually, not to disagree with you at all, but one more reason is that Iraq (along with Iran) was accepting Euro's for oil. I don't know all the gory details, but as I understand it, what's been keeping our currency afloat since the Nixon years has been a deal George Bush senior hammered out with the Saudi's, that OPEC states would accept only US Dollars for oil sales. As I'm lead to understand the entire "Axis of Evil" were essentially, trading oil (buying or selling) in Euros, and that's what made 'em "Evil". It's not just about the oil. It's about the Petro-Dollar, and control of the trade in oil, not necessarily any particular source of oil.
  • Phil Windley · 1 year ago
    Bingo.
  • Phil Windley · 1 year ago
    If it was just about oil, we could have bought it from Saddam. Don't by that argument for a minute.
  • Leila Abu-Saba · 1 year ago
    Dang. I just want a ticket (RT) to Beirut for my next chemo break scheduled for Sept/October. Hope we can still afford to fly by then.

    I like Dimitri Orlov's attitude. Just ignore all of them. In fact I prefer my acupuncturist's attitude: famine, war, environmental disaster - they come and they go. Don't worry about it.
  • Jeff · 1 year ago
    You're right, Dave,.
  • Matt Herring · 1 year ago
    So what happens when, in ten years, our cars are running off of hydrogen fuel, our energy's nuclear, solar, and wind powered, our gas of choice is natural gas, and we have no need to go outside the US for any of that? I agree that we should not have so hastily invaded Iraq, but I'm about through with all this "we're the bad guys" rhetoric. If things are this bad here to people, then perhaps a nice European socialist state might be a better fit. I'd even pay for the one way ticket. AMF!
  • rpetty · 1 year ago
    It never was about oil. As was already pointed out, we could have just bought it from Saddam and now we could just take it, but we don't.
  • curtisschweitzer · 1 year ago
    The fact of the matter is, although the West is remarkably dependent on oil to run their economies, those people who have the oil are far, far more addicted to the dollars (or Euros or anything else) that flow into their countries in exchange for it. Remove oil income from the UAE, or Saudi Arabia, or even Russia, and whole nations will have massively collapsed economies-- especially those that have grown addicted not only to the money itself, but the massive excess (the Burj Dubai, anyone?) that inevitably accompany it.

    As has already been pointed out in this thread, invading Iraq for oil doesn't make sense-- for anyone. And it didn't make sense in 2003. Big Oil would have been far happier had the United States merely lifted sanctions and economic restrictions on Iraq instead of using military force. They'd be better off, too, even than they are today-- after all, one thing that wouldn't change would be the soaring demand for oil in countries like China and India, which would have push prices higher even if no U.S. troops had ever set foot in Iraq. Keeping the comparatively smaller amount of oil (115 billion barrels in Iraq versus the 138 billion in Iran, the 101 billion in tiny Kuwait or the 264 billion in Saudi Arabia) flowing from Iraq is much easier simply through buying it. The Iraq war is about many things, but oil doesn't really seem to be one of them. (Indeed, reconstruction efforts in Iraq, though deplorably managed by incompetent individuals, have gone almost exclusively to reconstruction).

    Outside the U.S., no one wants "to call our bullshit" not because of our military, but because instability in any region, be it dispute territories in Israel, Afghanistan Chechnya, or even the Sudan has proven to be a breeding ground for very dangerous movements. These areas exist outside the globalized world for a variety of reasons, most of them having to do with cultural differences that are at once understandable and vastly incompatible with many core Western values. (A good discussion on this can be found at this link: http://youtube.com/watch?v=d3xlb6_0OEs). In any case, military action by Western powers (usually via the United States) are inevitably in such regions-- and for reasons completely unrelated to oil at all.

    Opposing the Iraq war isn't wrong in and of itself. I disagree with this sort of opinion, but I certainly respect those that have it. Opposing it based on terrible and frankly ignorant ideas regarding it really is.
  • Will Brehm · 1 year ago
    One reason Iraq will not be a province of Iran: Iraq is Arab and Iran is Persian. Ethnicity trumps sectarian similarities in this case as it did in the past.
  • ianbetteridge · 1 year ago
    As Phil and others have mentioned, if it was about the oil then you could have just bought it. Saddam was certainly willing to sell - in fact, all too happy to sell.

    You're also a mile off-base with the idea that Iran and Iraq would "merge". Iraq is 75% Arab, whereas Iran is majority Persian (and only about 3% Arab). Iran is 90% Shi'a Islam, where 40% of Iraq's population are Sunni.

    Saying the two countries will merge is about as silly as someone looking at Britain and France, saying "Oh, you're both mostly white and Christian", and deciding on that basis they're going to become one country.
  • Ken Hudak · 1 year ago
    After reading "Confessions of an Economic Hit Man," I have to wonder if Saddam was not interested in playing by the rules of the international money laundering scheme. The last step in the book for those rulers that do not wish to take on loans to have huge infrastructure built using US firms - is an invasion.

    I think the secret is in the original Iraqi invasion of Kuwait. Who orchestrated that? Saddam knew he didn't have a chance to keep the country. Did someone promise him something? Did he renig on the deal that was made and is that why we went in during 2003? Is that why we didn't go all the way to Baghdad? I think the answers begin there.
  • ianbetteridge · 1 year ago
    Actually, the invasion of Kuwait was largely down to economics. Iraq was broke, after the Iran/Iraq war. The Kuwaitis were massively boosting oil production, which drove down the price of oil and hit the Iraqis very hard. What's more, the Kuwaitis were slant-drilling into Iraqi oil fields, which, as you might expect, didn't go down too well.

    Saddam had interpreted some statements by the US ambassador as meaning the US wouldn't intervene if he invaded - wrongly, of course. He gambled and lost, and that's really all there is to it.
  • Joshua_Whalen · 1 year ago
    A better analogy would be Germany and France. Who'd have thunk it 50 years ago that they'd be the lynchpins of the EU? But they are.

    Before I get slammed here, France is majority Catholic, Germany majority (and birthplace of ) Protestant. This may seem trivial today, but these people slaughtered each other just a few centuries ago over that minor difference. Like Iraq's position in the old days of the Claiphate, Germany was once the center of the Holy Roman empire (holy roman empire, batman!) , and there was considerable rivalry and hostility with France in those days over that privilege too.

    See, looking at the past won't help you much in predicting the future here. What we're witnessing is possibly the dawning of a a new arab age. Perhaps historians a couple hundreds years from now will look back on the Iraq war as the impetus that finally united the arab world in a broad based coalition to fight the western barbarian's invasion, and ushered in a post-fundamentalist world in which the old divisions between sunni and shiite paled in the face of the common foe.

    Ironically, Bush claimed he wanted to drag the middle east into the 21st century, and he may well have succeeded.

    Just my thoughts.
  • ianbetteridge · 1 year ago
    Pan-Arabism isn't anything new - in fact, it was one of the cornerstones of Baath Party ideology. But try as they might, no one's come even close to uniting the various Arab nations.

    But that's kind of irrelevant to Iran and Iraq, because - and this is worth saying again - Iranians aren't Arabs, they're Persian. They speak Farsi, not Arabic. They're Indo-European Aryans rather than Semitic. And so on. They share a common alphabet, which is why most Westerners look at Farsi writing and assume it's Arabic - but the Arabic alphabet was actually imposed upon Persians after conquest.
  • Joshua_Whalen · 1 year ago
    Actually, I think you just shored up my analogy. Germans & French speak different languages, with distinctly different roots --- french is much more deeply rooted in Latin than German, which is much closer to the native western European tongue on which English, & the Scandinavian languages are based, as well as Dutch, and the Germanic peoples use the Latin alphabet, but it was imposed on them through conquest. Runic is their original alphabet.

    Likewise, European unionism is as old as the hills, from Napoleon to the League of Nations, to Adolph Hitler, a united Europe has been a recurring theme. So, again, my analogy holds.
  • Spencer Whetstone · 1 year ago
    European unionism has been resisted since the days of Julius Caesar. Remember Arminius and the Battle of the Teutoburg Forest.

    As Augustus said,"Quintili Vare legiones redde!"
  • Joshua_Whalen · 1 year ago
    Sure, and so has pan-arabism. The EU is, none the less, a reality, and what I'm offering is no more far-fetched than the EU would have seemed in 1916.
  • ianbetteridge · 1 year ago
    Yes, but what the EU isn't about is France becoming a province of Germany - which is what Dave was suggesting would happen. It won't, for much the same reasons.
  • Joshua_Whalen · 1 year ago
    True. My analogy collapses at that point. I'm not suggesting it's a perfect comparison, all I was saying is the shiite/sunni hostility, and the history of military conflict isn't a significant obstacle to an alliance or merger. I still don't think it is.

    I remember the incredible degree of inter-ethnic hostility in NYC in the late '80's, early 90's. What finally brought an end to this was that we all learned to hate Rudolph Giuliani instead of each other.
  • ianbetteridge · 1 year ago
    It's lucky that Guiliani didn't win the Republican nomination, then - imagine the anti-American alliance he could have forged :)
  • Joshua_Whalen · 1 year ago
    <sarcasm>Yes, but think of the unity back home! If Bush increased the progressive ranks, think what Giuliani could have done! Why, he probably would have been enough to give us a president Kuchinich!</sarcasm>
  • Spencer Whetstone · 1 year ago
    Actually, the EU is about England becoming a province of Brussels.
  • Spencer Whetstone · 1 year ago
    >>If we pull out, Iraq and Iran will merge, combine the countries with the 2nd and 3rd largest oil reserves, and a huge army, run by people who are serious and they're not the idiots the Republicans keep portraying them as.<<

    This is an amazing comment. Upon what basis do you think that the Arabs of Iraq want a political union with the Persians of Iran?

    Remember how well the United Arab Republic worked out?
  • Tim_Hare · 1 year ago
    If it's about oil, then I have a suggestion that actually solves two or maybe three problems: Invade adnd annex Mexico. Take their oil company. Solves part of the oil problem; solves the immigration issue; except large US corporations won't like it because the all the maquiladoras will fall under minimum wage laws.
  • Alison Fish · 1 year ago
    That's the Dave Winer I like to read. So glad you've stopped worshipping a candidate anymore.
  • interstar · 1 year ago
    Of all the attempts to counter Dave's argument here, the "we could have just bought the oil" is the most naive.

    Of course the US couldn't have just *bought* the oil from Saddam Hussain. It would have a) given Saddam rivers of cash, b) let him spend that cash rearming, and so c) put US interests (and military presence) in Kuwait and Saudi at risk again. After 9/11 and two years of FAIL against Al-Qaeda in Afghanistan, at least the Neocons (crazy as they were) were smart enough to realize that the US was caught in a trap : they couldn't stay in Saudi indefinitely (that was a pressure cooker) nor could they leave, giving up the no-fly zones and punative attacks and containment of Iraq; and so allowing Saddam to regather his strength.

    Straight larceny wasn't a strategic goal, though it was probably a useful sweetener ("Won't cost much, pay for itself really, once we start pumping the oil. Think of it as a big tax-cut " : (http://www.smh.com.au/articles/2003/02/13/10449... ))

    But why this part of the world is so strategically *interesting* to the US? With a voracious China and Russia both round the corner? Of course, it's about the oil.
  • ianbetteridge · 1 year ago
    Sorry, but that's wrong.

    Saddam, no matter how well-armed, wouldn't have tried the Kuwaiti gambit again - the first time nearly cost him his rulership, and he knew it. After Gulf War I, Saddam knew his regional ambitions were all over. No matter how well armed he would have got, he would have known that the US could and would tear his country to bits if he threatened the region.

    Remember the prime reasons for Gulf War 1: Iraq desperately needed money, and it believed (falsely) that America would do nothing if he invaded Kuwait. Had Iraq had more oil money, he would never have invaded Kuwait.

    The only US interest in the region is that it's stable - no matter who's in charge. The only time that Saddam was a real threat to US interests was when he was broke.
  • interstar · 1 year ago
    I seem to remember quite a lot of concern about "weapons of ... something or other" at that time.

    Are you really telling me that *NO-ONE* believed that there was the slightest danger of Hussain acquiring them and using them to threaten his neighbours had he been allowed to rebuild his country and army with oil money?

    Yes, the US wanted stability, but not at the cost of strong, wealthy, anti-American powers in the area. Especially when any of them might be secretly funding anti-Israeli terrorist networks which could then feed those weapons to al-qaeda and hence into the US.

    Look, I'm trying to give the Neocons and US government *some* benefit of the doubt here ... sure they were stupid and venal, but they weren't totally random.
  • martin_english · 1 year ago
    1) 'big business' does not like instability - The reason for the invasion was that pretty much EVERYONE (democrat AND republican) fell for Sadaams's line about having WMD. In fact, there's evidence to suggest that Sadaam was lied to about the progress of these weapons, by people to scared to admit that they had nothing.
    2) In 100 yars, there will be no more oil, so (by your argument) why would the US be in the middle east in 100 years ??
    3) Nuclear energy at current levels of technology is only a stop-gap - Uranium (and therefore plutonium) will run out.

    The 'Western Worlds' economy runs on cheap energy. We nned to find renewable, non carbon-based energy sources ASAP, before the non-renewable or carbon-based sources run out.
  • Spencer Whetstone · 1 year ago
    Fast breeder reactor.
  • ianbetteridge · 1 year ago
    Not, at present, a solution, for lots of reasons - chiefly that, even with oil at current prices, fast breeders are uneconomic. Japan is probably the world leader in fast breeder technology, having invested billions in it, and still only estimates reactors coming into commercial use by 2050. Indian is aiming for 2020 with a "next generation" reactor which it claims would be commercial, but that's still on the drawing board.

    Plus of course the fact that you can easily use them to make lots of nice weapons-grade plutonium makes them a less-than-ideal solution, unless you want every country in the world to be nuclear-armed.
  • Phil Windley · 1 year ago
    For a much more nuanced analysis of the reason for going into Iraq and where we're at now, read this piece by George Friedman.

    http://www.stratfor.com/weekly/now_hard_part_ir...

    It's not about oil and never has been.
  • red · 1 year ago
    Dave,

    You officially are off your Rocker. You wrote a couple days ago you were off the Obama bandwagon, at least on the donation front, and now you are noting he will keep the status quo...yet are still voting for him. Early on in the election cycle you showed some admiration for Ron Paul, and also even noted the media gave him a raw deal while giving Obama a free pass.

    I challenge you to take a real stand with all of your readership and back Ron Paul and/or Bob Barr! Both would immediately pull out and fix the screwed up "pay to play" politics of the country. The RepuliCrat 2 party system is broken and now so is the country's monetary system.